Political Violence

Expectations of and perceived need for civil war in the USA

Abstract BACKGROUND

Surveys have found concerningly high levels of agreement that the United States will experience civil war soon. This study assesses variation in expectation of and perceived need for civil war with respondent sociopolitical characteristics, beliefs, firearm ownership, and willingness to engage in political violence.

New op-eds from Dr. Wintemute and Dr. Kagawa

In this issue: Research is at the forefront of what we do, and we are constantly looking for ways to share findings and inform the public. This past month, two VPRP faculty wrote about the implications of their research as they relate to current events. Both op-eds are on the short side, and we invite you to give them a read!  

Single-year change in views of democracy and society and support for political violence in the USA

Abstract BACKGROUND

A 2022 survey in the USA found concerningly high prevalences of support for and personal willingness to engage in political violence, of beliefs associated with such violence, and of belief that civil war was likely in the near future. It is important to determine the durability of those findings.

Firearm ownership and support for political violence in the United States

Overview QUESTION

How do firearm owners and nonowners in the United States differ in support for and willingness to engage in political violence, and how do these measures vary among subsets of firearm owners?

FINDINGS

In this survey study with 12 851 participants, firearm owners were only moderately more supportive of political violence than nonowners. Recent purchasers and owners who always or nearly always carried firearms in public were more supportive of and willing to engage in political violence than other subsets of firearm owners.

PREPRINT: Racist and pro-violence beliefs, approval of extreme right-wing political organizations and movements, and support for political violence in the United States

Abstract OBJECTIVE

To determine the extent to which endorsement of racist beliefs, support for violence to effect social change, and approval of extreme right-wing political organizations and movements are associated with support for and willingness to engage in political violence in the United States.